2026/27 NBA Over/Unders: Southwest Division

As we approach the start of the 2026/27 NBA regular season, we’re taking predictions for the upcoming campaign seriously and continuing our annual Hoops Rumors tradition.

With the help of lines from a number of sports betting sites – including BetMGM and BetOnline – we look at the projected win totals for each of the NBA’s 30 teams by division. In a series of team polls, you’ll get the chance to weigh in on whether you think these predictions are too optimistic or too pessimistic.

In 2025/26. 14-16 of our voters went on their over/under elections. Can we top that in ’26/27?

We’ll wrap up our series with the Southwest Division today.

Note: Our lists of offseason additions and deletions for each team only feature players on standard contracts, not two-way or practice deals.

San Antonio Spurs

• 2025/26 record: 62-60
• Over/under for 2026/27: 60.5 wins
  
• Key moves in the offseason:

Houston Rockets

• 2025/26 record: 52-30
• Over/under for 2026/27: 48.5 wins
  
• Key moves in the offseason:

Dallas Mavericks

• 2025/26 record: 26-56
• Over/under for 2026/27: 34.5 wins
  
• Key moves in the offseason:
  • Added: Saint Aldama, Zachary Ryzaker, Morez Johnson Jr, Marcus Sasser, Tarik Biberavich, Sergio de Laurea
  • Lost: Klay Thompson, Chris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, Ryan Nembhard, AJ Johnson

Memphis Grizzlies

• 2025/26 record: 25-57
• Over/under for 2026/27: 29.5 wins
  
• Key moves in the offseason:
  • Added: Cameron Boozer, Jeremy Grant, Isaiah Stewart, Quinten Post, Karim Lopez, Micah Peavy, Chris Murray
    Note: Peavy and/or Murray could be waived before the season starts.
  • Lost: Ja Morant, Saint Aldama, Kentavius ​​Caldwell-Pope, That Gibson
    Note: In addition to the players who left the team via trade or free agency, the Grizzlies also lost Brandon Clarkwho died in May.

New Orleans Pelicans

• 2025/26 record: 26-56
• Over/under for 2026/27: 28.5 wins
  
• Key moves in the offseason:

Preliminary voting results

Atlantic

• New York Knicks (52.5 wins): Finished (54.8%)
• Boston Celtics (51.5 wins): Under (59.1%)
• Philadelphia 76 (50.5 wins): Finished (65.6%)
• Toronto Raptors (46.5 wins): Finished (63.8%)
• Brooklyn Nets (24.5 wins): Finished (59.8%)

Central

• Detroit Pistons (49.5 wins): Finished (69.2%)
• Cleveland Cavaliers (48.5 wins): Finished (66.5%)
• Indiana Pacers (44.5 wins): Finished (57.5%)
• Chicago Bulls (29.5 wins): Finished (54.3%)
• Milwaukee Bucks (25.5 wins): Under (52.0%)

South-eastern

• Miami Heat (46.5 wins): Finished (66.0%)
• Orlando Magic (44.5 wins): Under (55.7%)
• Atlanta Hawks (44.5 wins): Finished (56.4%)
• Charlotte Hornets (38.5 wins): Under (59.6%)
• Washington Wizards (34.5 wins): Finished (58.9%)

Northwest

• Oklahoma City Thunder (62.5 wins): Under (68.3%)
• Denver Nuggets (49.5 wins): Finished (57.6%)
• Minnesota Timberwolves (48.5 wins): Finished (71.4%)
• Portland Trail Blazers (41.5 wins): Under (52.5%)
• Utah Jazz (38.5 wins): Under (56.2%)

Pacific

• Los Angeles Lakers (46.5 wins): Finished (61.7%)
• Phoenix Suns (40.5 wins): Finished (50.9%)
• Golden State Warriors (39.5 wins): Under (56.6%)
• Los Angeles Clippers (30.5 wins): Under (63.8%)
• Sacramento Kings (20.5 wins): Finished (58.5%)