October is upon us! The NFL heads into Week 4 and with the fall weather, football is truly and truly in the air!
Last week opened with the Falcons beating the Packers in Green Bay, which says a lot about how bad the Packers are right now. The most surprising upset was that the Chiefs, led by Marcus Mariota, beat the previously undefeated Seahawks, but the fact that the Jaguars crushed the Patriots was also a bit of a surprise.
I’m back ahead of the Steelers-Browns in the Week 4 Survivor picks. Thursday night football. Survivor involves picking one team each week to win. If they beat you, if they lose you’re out in most cases. I’m in a single tank with four inlets, but it’s also a double drain tank. One of my entries came out in two weeks with the Chargers and Bucs missing the first two weeks of the season. The other entry was the Steelers in Week 1 and the Bucs in Week 2, so I’d love to make a mark there. I made three picks last week, two with the 49ers and one with the Chiefs picking me up for another week.
Check out the safest picks, the best prices, and the pitfall picks below. I’ll post my own picks at the end. I’ll update on Sunday after I’ve locked in my three picks for the weekend.
I have included odds for favorites in each game FanDuel.
Vikings (-10.5) over Dolphins
Ravens (-11.5) over the Titans
We have double-digit favorites this week and both are safe plays. The Vikings are better off playing this weekend because there aren’t many options for them to use. They are favorites at home against the Falcons and Panthers in Week 12 and Week 13, but if you haven’t used them yet, the Jaguars at home against the Titans and the Broncos at home against the Dolphins are better values.
Vikings (-10.5) over Dolphins
Minnesota is a value game this week. Most people use ravens, but Vikings make the most sense across the board.
Seahawks (-7) over Chargers
Bills (-6.5) over the Patriots
Seattle should be able to bounce back after their struggles in Washington, but LA has been a disaster. I’m not ready to give up on the Chargers, and this is a dangerous game for the Seahawks.
I think the Bills will probably swing the Patriots, but there’s no reason to pick a fraction at this level of your competition.
I don’t like to put all my eggs in one basket, but the Vikings are an interesting basket. I’ll use the Ravens for one pick and the Vikings for two, but I’ll be sleeping for the next few days.