The Indianapolis Colts (2-2) and Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) both enter Sunday’s game at Acrisure Stadium looking to climb above .500 in a crowded AFC playoff race. The Steelers have alternated wins and losses through four weeks, while the Colts have won the last two after dropping a pair to open the campaign.
Daniel Jones and the Colts are currently second in the AFC South one game back Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers are tied for third in the AFC North with Joe Burrow and the Bengalis.
Indianapolis heads into Week 5 with momentum after a convincing 30-13 win over Washington in London. Jonathan Taylor was star no. 1 for the Colts rushing for 95 yards and a couple of scores on 20 carries. Daniel Jones was solid, completing 19 of 34 passes for 143 yards to seven different receivers. He also scored a touchdown. Yes, Indy took advantage of the Commanders playing most of the game with their third-string quarterback, Athan Kaliakmanis. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is coming off a disappointing 27-24 loss to the Browns on Thursday Night Football. The Steelers never led last Thursday in their loss at Cleveland, but tied it with under two minutes to play only to lose with ten seconds left in regulation. Aaron Rodgers threw for 299 yards and DK Metcalf hauled in five passes for 115 yards, but the defense couldn’t stop the rookie Deshaun Watson and what had been a lethargic Browns offense.
One of the biggest stories will be whether Indianapolis can continue its productive ground attack against TJ Watt and a Steelers defense, while Pittsburgh will try to take advantage of a Colts team that has struggled with turnovers and an inconsistent passing attack early in the season.
Historically, this has been a series dominated by the Steelers. Pittsburgh owns a 28-8 all-time advantage over Indianapolis, including several memorable postseason meetings. The most recent game came on November 2, 2025, when the Steelers defeated the Colts 27-20 in Pittsburgh. The Steelers defense forced four Daniel Jones turnovers, overcoming a first quarter deficit to win.
With both teams sitting at 2-2 and playoff positioning already becoming important in the AFC, Sunday’s game carries the feel of an early season gauge for two clubs trying to establish themselves as legitimate postseason contenders.
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an extra sweat or two.
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Game details and how to watch: Colts vs. Steelers
- date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- time: 1 p.m. ET
- Page: Acrisure Stadium
- town: Pittsburgh, PA
- TV/Broadcasting: CBS
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Last chance of the game: Colts vs. Steelers
The latest odds from Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Money line: Indianapolis Colts (+114), Pittsburgh Steelers (-135)
- SPREAD: Steels -2.5
- in total: 44.5
The total is down a full three points from the open to 47.5, but the spread is right where it opened.
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Rotoworld’s best bets
Expert picks and predictions: Colts vs. Steelers
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Our model calculates predictions around every money line, spread and over/under for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, betting trends and weather forecasts.
After the model finishes running, we place its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each bet.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Colts and Steelers:
- Money line: NBC Sports is leaning toward a Steelers game on Moneyline.
- SPREAD: NBC Sports is staying away from a show involving the Spread.
- in total: NBC Sports is recommending a Game Total Game Over 44.5.
Here’s why it’s worth watching OVER:
The line is down from 47.5 to 44.5 – a drop of three points reflecting the market’s overcorrection to the downside. The Colts have allowed 26.0 points per game this season, and two of their four games have exceeded 60 total points. Their defense ranks 22nd in opponent EPA per game and dead last in Net Yards per game. In a game with two leaky defenses, two attacks that can move the ball and a break mismatch that favors the home team’s scoring, this has all the makings of a high-scoring, back-and-forth affair.
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Colts vs Steelers: Betting Trends and Stats
- The Colts are 3-1 against the spread this season
- The Steelers are 2-2 against the spread this season
- Indianapolis is 2-2 in OVER this season
- Pittsburgh is 2-2 in OVER this season
Quarterback matchup: Colts vs. Steelers
- Indianapolis:Daniel Jones
2026 Stats: 4GP, 754 Passing Yards, 3 TD, 4 INT, 73.9 RTG, Sacked 8 times - Pittsburgh: Aaron Rodgers
2026 Stats: 4GP, 999 Passing Yards, 7 TD, 4 INT, 81.6 RTG, Sacked 13 times
Colts vs Steelers: Best Playmakers
Colts
- RB Jonathan Taylor
2026 Stats: 4GP, 86 carries for 353 Yds, 6 TD / 10 receptions on 15 targets for 69 Yds, 0 TD - THE Tyler Warren
2026 Stats: 4GP, 23 Catches on 27 Targets for 130 Yds, 2 TD - WR Josh Downs
2026 Stats: 4GP, 17 Catches on 28 Targets for 202 Yds, 0 TD
Steels
- WR DK Metcalf
2026 Stats: 4GP, 16 catches on 33 targets for 213 yds, 1 TD - RB Jaylen Warren
2026 Stats: 4GP, 55 carries for 309 Yds, 0 TD / 13 receptions on 19 targets for 143 Yds, 0 TD - THE Pat Freiermuth
2026 Stats: 4GP, 14 Catches on 20 Targets for 125 Yds, 2 TD
Colts vs Steelers: Injury Update
Colts
- WR Keenan Allen (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- OF Arden key (hamstring) is listed as out for Sunday’s game
Steels
- RB Rico Dowdle (foot) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Jamel Dean (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
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