Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica’s 2026 College Football Top 10 — Week 11

Finishing in the top two has not gone well for the teams this season.

Here are my latest college football rankings, with odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

This site may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you register or place a bet, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports betting on FOX Sports.

Last week: No.
To do CFP: -430
Title Odds: +3300

It’s not as extreme as BYU, but the power ratings see UCLA as a top-12 team or so, and that’s about it. The SOS ranking is one point better than Utah at 67. We’re looking at an offense outside the top 40 in efficiency, and how long can the Bruins play the turnover-voodoo-doll game? It’s been a great story to get to 9-0, but it wouldn’t surprise me if the Bruins lose their last two games at Michigan and against USC.

Last week: 9
To do CFP: -1300
Title Odds: +1050

It’s okay to have your highest-rated Big Ten team this low. It’s that kind of year in the league. I was really surprised the CFP had Indiana so high last week, but I have a feeling it will drop this week, and then of course come out on Saturday and throttle USC. IU really needs a healthy Josh Hoover and for that offensive line to improve. It’s pretty amazing to think that this version of IU is still the favorite to win the Big Ten. This is a testament to the work Curt Cignetti has done.

Last week: 7
To do CFP: +255
Title Odds: +10000

Two losses, but the Cougars also have wins over Notre Dame and Arizona. The underlying numbers don’t support BYU as a 10th team – 23rd in Sagarin, 17th in FPI and SP+, 20th in offensive efficiency and 25th in defensive efficiency. A very good team, but not a title contender. But considering the Cougars’ resume, I have them here for now because the Irish win has to count for something.

Last week: No.
To do CFP: +130
Title Odds: +3700

It’s not that easy to say that Tennessee should be ranked ahead of Bama because Texas also fits in this top three and the Horns won in Knoxville. That’s cool, the Vols control their CFP fate with a schedule at A&M, against LSU and at Vanderbilt. I’d like their chances going in at 9-3, but they can take a lot of pressure off themselves by winning at Kyle Field this week. This defense should give Marcel Reed fits.

Last week: 10
To do CFP: -3000
Title Odds: +680

Maybe Alabama is good, huh? Bama was a shining light all week for those who thought the CFP had outplayed him. This was an impressive win for the Tide in Baton Rouge, even if they were outplayed. Every high leverage, key play, especially in the red zone, went Bama’s way.

Last week: 1
To do CFP: -2500
Title Odds: +800

It looked like that game Saturday was headed sideways in the first half, but credit the Canes for putting themselves in position to tie or win the game. It was a tough week as Malachi Toney’s injury clearly affected the first half performance, given the timing of the injury (late Wednesday) likely affected the game planning. All of the Canes’ goals are still ahead of them, but they have to be careful this week against Duke RB Nate Sheppard, who will be a problem for those backs in coverage.

Last week: 5
To do CFP: -380
Title Odds: +1050

Despite two losses and really not having a complete game, Texas has some really good wins – Ohio State, Ole Miss, Missouri and Tennessee. So I’ll put them here. Like many teams, the Horns have a number of injuries. A trip to LSU awaits.

Last week: 4
To do CFP: -4000
Title Odds: +400

Notre Dame jumped on Miami early and the Irish defensive front dominated the Miami OL to give Marcus Freeman his biggest win of the regular season. The CFP rankings last week really didn’t make sense, and the power ratings and efficiency ratings had the Irish in the top five. CJ Carr has been thrust into serious Heisman contention as Jeremiah Smith has seen his QB go down and Malachi Toney is out with an ankle injury. I don’t expect the 2026 Irish to follow the same path as the 1993 Irish in the game after beating a No. 1 from the state of Florida.

Last week: 3
To do CFP: -700
Title Odds: +2600

The Utes continue to play from the front and, despite blowing an early lead against BYU, Utah controlled the second half and passed Bear Bachmeier four times. Utah is a really solid team, but do I really think they are the second best team in the country? No, no. Most computer ratings have the Utes as a top 10 team, but they’ve taken care of business so far. Utah is a slight favorite in Arizona, as it looks to avoid being the next top-two team to go down, which has happened in each of the last five weeks.

Last week: 2
To do CFP: -9000
Title Odds: +245

Georgia should be the unanimous no. 1 now, despite Utah being undefeated. The Bulldogs have a terrible losing streak, but wins over Alabama and Ole Miss, as well as top-eight ratings in offensive and defensive efficiency, make them a clear number one in my book. The defense has been bad the past two weeks, not allowing a point in the first three quarters. A desperate Missouri heads to Athens this week.