Week 7’s headliner comes to Sunday Night Football! it’s Kenneth Walker leading the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (5-0) to Lumen Field to face his former team, the Seattle Seahawks (3-3). The 12s are going crazy, and despite Seattle losing two games in a row, the likes of the Seahawks (-2.5) will be the first team to hand the Chiefs a loss.
Seattle hasn’t lost three in a row since 2024 Geno Smith day. The Seahawks can be down on Sunday night after losses to the 49ers (32-29) and Broncos (17-14 OT). Seattle’s other loss to Washington was by two points (33-31), so the season could look very different if they had some rebounds going their way. Seattle got some good news this week; Zach Charbonnet could be returned.
with The Jadarian Prize on IR, the Seahawks offense has struggled to run the ball. The Seahawks rank 18th in rushing yards per game (107.2) and are tied for 13th with 27.5 rushing attempts per game. Sam Darnold is coming off his worst game of the year with two interceptions and zero tackles and ranks 10th against zone coverage and play-action. Charbonnet would be a sight for Darnold’s sore eyes.
Kansas City has been an underdog 13 times since 2021, and they’ve won nine of those games. Patrick Mahomes enters the SNF with a collection of wins against some weak teams. Recently, the Chiefs have beaten the Dolphins, Raiders and Chargers – all teams likely to draft in the top 10 this year, plus the Colts a week ago. The two road games were in Las Vegas and Miami, so the Chiefs haven’t had to play in a Seattle-like atmosphere this season.
The Chiefs beat the Chargers 22-6 last game and Mahomes didn’t catch a pass for the first time this season. Kenneth Walker had another monster game with 128 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries. Walker set an NFL record for most rushing yards in five games with a rookie (665). His old team, the Seahawks, will surely have some big hits and teases waiting for him when he hits the rock. If any team can slow him down, it would be Seattle, but can they?
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an extra sweat or two.
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Game details and how to watch Chiefs at Seahawks
· date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
· time: 20:20 ET
· YOUR: Lumen Field
· town: Seattle, WA
· TV/Broadcasting: NBC | peacock
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Last game odds for Chiefs at Seahawks
The latest odds courtesy of DraftKings:
· Money line: Kansas City Chiefs (+120), Seattle Seahawks (-142)
· SPREAD: Seattle -2.5 (-110)
· in total: 42.5
The spread was Seattle -3, so Kansas City +3 was swept in the opener. The total has dropped from 45.5 to 42.5, but could see a marker up to 43 or 43.5 if Zach Charbonnet is back in Seattle.
Best NBC sports betting
The experts’ picks and predictions for the Chiefs on the Seahawks
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Kenneth Walker to go under his rush support:
“Kenneth Walker will make his return to Seattle and if there’s one team that can slow down KW3, it’s the Seahawks. Walker has the most rushing yards for a team through five games in NFL history at (665). Since he’s been gone, Seattle’s rushing attack has struggled, especially on kickoffs The Jadarian Prize went to IR. While Walker looks forward to it, I expect the Seahawks fans and defense won’t be so welcoming. His rushing support is set at 87.5 and I expect him to break 90 yards as most of the money will come in his rushing yards. Christian McCaffrey is the best running back Seattle has faced and he had 66 yards against the Seahawks on 11 carries. Walker should see at least 16-plus (proposal is 18.5), so it will be a sweaty Under bet, but I’ll fade Walker on Sunday Night Football.”
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Chiefs on Seahawks betting trends and stats
- Kansas City is 4-1 in the last five meetings against Seattle
- Seattle is 3-1 in its last four home games against Kansas City
- Kansas City is 3-2 ATS and 3-2 under
- Seattle is 1-3-2 ATS, ranking fourth-worst and 3-3 in the Over
- Seattle is 0-1-2 ATS at home, ranking fourth-worst, and 2-1 in the Over
- Kansas City is 1-1 ATS on the road and 1-1 in the Over
- Seattle is 8-7 in the ML following a two-game losing streak or longer since 2021
- Kansas City is 9-4 best ATS in NFL and 8-5 in ML as an underdog since 2021
- Kansas City is 7-6 against the Under as an underdog since 2021
- Kansas City ranks second best with a 5-2 ATS mark as a road underdog since 2021
- Kansas City is an NFL-best 5-2 in ML as a road underdog through 2021
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Chiefs at Seahawks quarterback matchup
· Kansas City: Patrick Mahomes – For the first time all season, Patrick Mahomes didn’t have a touchdown in his last game against the Chargers. However, Mahomes went 23 of 30 (76.7%) for 272 yards and an interception. Mahomes has a 9:3 TD to INT ratio this season and has worked with the fourth-best game script for PlayerProfiler. Mahomes has the second-best play-action completion percentage (65.6%) thanks to the impact Walker brings. Mahomes is also fifth against the area with a 71.7% completion rate. The Seahawks run the most zone in the NFL at 89.2%, so Mahomes could thrive as an underdog on the road, which has become a common theme in his career.
· Seattle: Sam Darnold – Darnold is coming off his worst game of the season, a 17-14 OT loss to Denver. Darnold finished with 278 yards on 27-of-51 (52.9%) and zero touchdowns to two interceptions. Darnold has seven touchdown passes to seven interceptions this year and a 60.4% completion percentage. Darnold had a career-high 67.7% completion percentage last season, so the downside of not having a running game is real. Darnold has a completion percentage of 54.5% (25th) and 48.5% when under pressure (11th). The only area where Darnold has excelled is in the red zone. Darnold ranks in the top five in completion percentage (64.7%) and catch rate (89.5%). He ranks 30th in completion percentage vs. zone (62.4%) and 23rd in completion percentage vs. man coverage (23). Seattle is favored, and that could be because of the defense or the rarity of Seattle losing three straight.
Chiefs on Seahawks injury update
Seattle OG Anthony Bradford (knee) is questionable
Seattle RB Zach Charbonnet (ACL) is questionable
Seattle RB Jadarian Price (chest) is on IR
Seattle TE Elijah Arroyo (shoulder) is out
Seattle LB Drake Thomas (ankle) is questionable
Seattle S Bud Clark (ankle) is out
Kansas City WR Rashee Rice (hamstring) is questionable
Kansas City LT Josh Simmons (back) is questionable
Kansas City OT Jaylon Moore (concussion) is questionable
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