HomeHorse RacingInformation Pushed: Thursday's key statistics make into an 87-1 accumulator

Information Pushed: Thursday’s key statistics make into an 87-1 accumulator


Tomorrow’s race is five times, with afternoon meetings from Stratford, Lingfield, Clonmel and Ffos Las. Chelmsford takes on the all-weather for an evening, and we’ve got horse racing tips for all five, including a NAP of the Day and Lucky 15 tips.

Statistics and trends are a key weapon in the war against bookmakers. They are an essential aid in finding winners, as our daily statistics pieces over the past few months have shown. In a new series for the site, Data Driven will bring you three of the most important daily stats, with Thursday stats becoming an 87-1 accumulator. Check out the full analysis below!


Maybe not surprising Willie Mullins has had quite a remarkable record at Clonmel over the past five years. Out of 95 runners, he has enjoyed 43 winners, and that 45% strike rate equates to a level stakes win of £ 41.68. He has two on Thursday and perhaps the most interesting is Mary Meehan.

She made steady progress in the bumpers and showed her best runner-up in Downpatrick over 2m 2f. It drove consistently wide, had a lot of catching up to do and it is shaping up as if this new ride, especially over hurdles, will bring a lot of improvements. The winner of this Downpatrick won at Cheltenham last week and that’s a good sign too.


Few drive better than Tom Marquand currently. He has won 10 of his last 49 trips and is traveling to Lingfield on Thursday, a place where he has had a lot of success over the past few years. He has won 15% of his 454 rides, a very neat £ 64.12 to even off the stakes, and Alvediston seems to have above-average standards for him.

He is a New Bay son, cost 135,000 as a foal and clearly has a good reputation, having been sent at short prices in both of his previous starts. He didn’t score on either occasion but there was plenty of promise and a Wallach operation could help him reach his true potential. The all-weather will fit (when breeding) and maximum respect should be shown to him.


Richard Hughes has had a lot of success at Chelmsford this year. He had 10 winners out of 46 runners and that 22% strike rate equates to a level stakes win of £ 44.83. He only sends one runner to the venue on Thursday, which is Cable Bay’s daughter. Brides bay.

She is a two-race virgin who has done well on both occasions, most recently at Wolverhampton when she may have been delivered early. Taking the lead out of the curve, she was at the front in idle and lost a few places in the last furlong. On this occasion it is likely to be driven differently and if it is delivered late it has a real chance to upset the favorite.


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